Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.060742 0.068691 0.076792 0.085636 0.094992 0.104567 0.115080
2025-10-12 0.047045 0.058572 0.070874 0.084847 0.100154 0.116305 0.134528
2025-10-19 0.039465 0.053250 0.068516 0.086378 0.106439 0.128044 0.152855
2025-10-26 0.033226 0.048419 0.065830 0.086738 0.110712 0.136962 0.167525
2025-11-02 0.028815 0.045112 0.064374 0.088024 0.115611 0.146219 0.182242
2025-11-09 0.024561 0.041483 0.062126 0.088029 0.118737 0.153226 0.194211
2025-11-16 0.019751 0.036596 0.057925 0.085348 0.118430 0.156064 0.201236
2025-11-23 0.015797 0.032373 0.054192 0.082929 0.118176 0.158753 0.207902
2025-11-30 0.013773 0.030598 0.053419 0.084011 0.121980 0.166054 0.219771
2025-12-07 0.012220 0.029326 0.053181 0.085663 0.126394 0.174007 0.232343
2025-12-14 0.011226 0.028789 0.053851 0.088412 0.132100 0.183451 0.246622
2025-12-21 0.009819 0.027422 0.053277 0.089476 0.135675 0.190324 0.257866
2025-12-28 0.010157 0.029079 0.057101 0.096499 0.146912 0.206649 0.280572
2026-01-04 0.008187 0.026580 0.054936 0.095608 0.148289 0.211215 0.289533
2026-01-11 0.007114 0.025502 0.054719 0.097233 0.152771 0.219476 0.302825
2026-01-18 0.005884 0.023917 0.053640 0.097616 0.155624 0.225727 0.313704
2026-01-25 0.005018 0.022899 0.053328 0.098985 0.159688 0.233417 0.326270
2026-02-01 0.004004 0.021345 0.052083 0.098990 0.161947 0.238863 0.336125
2026-02-08 0.002695 0.018692 0.048895 0.096136 0.160393 0.239541 0.340187
2026-02-15 0.001701 0.016354 0.046005 0.093559 0.159093 0.240451 0.344461
2026-02-22 0.001314 0.015616 0.045740 0.094712 0.162669 0.247381 0.355978
2026-03-01 0.001044 0.015150 0.045907 0.096471 0.167034 0.255285 0.368669
2026-03-08 0.000910 0.015142 0.046870 0.099397 0.172950 0.265127 0.383713